In 2010, the textile domestic demand market continued to be hot and the export market gradually recovered. Shengze Textile Industry also went out of the shadow of the previous two years and began to develop steadily. However, it was not long afterwards, and the market demand for textile raw materials has increased substantially. With the increase, prices of cotton and chemical fiber have skyrocketed and reached a record high in November. At the same time, the impact of the appreciation of *** has placed the entire textile industry with unprecedented cost pressures. This is unpredictable for everyone. . The upsurge of cotton, cotton yarn and chemical fiber has become a worry for the accelerated recovery of the textile industry.



Below, we first analyze the chart of the average purchase amount of raw materials in the Shengze Index. From the trend of the curve, it can be seen that in January 10, the average purchase amount of raw materials of Shengze Textile Company continued to grow by 13.34% on the basis of the end of 2009, which was mainly due to the company's raw material reserves before the year, guaranteeing production and sales after the year. In February, affected by the Spring Festival holiday, the operating rate of enterprises was generally not high, and the average purchase amount of raw materials fell sharply, reaching a drop of 12.35%. Starting in March, Shengze Textile Company's sales quickly entered the state and averaged. The purchase amount of raw materials rose by 7.7% year-on-year in February. In April, due to the continuous rise in raw material prices, the average purchase amount of raw materials by enterprises also increased. Compared with March, the increase was 48.87%; in May, the average enterprise The purchase amount of raw materials changed significantly in March and April, a year-on-year decrease of 13.87% year-on-year. This was a rare occurrence in the textile raw materials market in the past 10 years. It was a long time. In June, Shengze Company's average The purchase amount of raw materials rose by 2.25% year-on-year in May, up 8.2% from the same period of last year; in July, the average purchase amount of raw materials by Shengze Company was the same In June, it continued to rise by 5.87%. However, it was down by 1.96% from the same period of last year. In August, the average purchase amount of raw materials of Shengze Company decreased slightly, which was a decrease of 12.81%. This was mainly due to the continuous rise of raw material prices in August. The purchase of enterprises was slightly more cautious. More purchases were made according to the demand for textile orders. By September, the average purchase amount of raw materials of Shengze Group rebounded again in August and rose by 16.34%. In October, it rose by 9.94%. In November, raw materials rose. The speed reached the highest point, an increase of 49.4%. After a year of frantic rise in raw materials, downstream fabric companies and terminal garment processing companies could not tolerate this unreasonable raw material cost. The weaving mills and terminal processing plants have all stopped. Fabric trading, at this time, only announced the end of raw materials skyrocketing in 2010, by December, textile raw materials prices have finally dropped substantially to return to the normal price range.

Let us analyze the causes of the soaring textile raw materials in 2010:

First, the price of upstream chemical fiber raw materials rose. In 2010, due to the rise in international crude oil prices, the prices of chemical fiber raw materials such as PTA and MEG kept rising, and the production costs of chemical fiber yarns increased, setting off a price storm.

Second, imbalances in cotton supply and demand lead to price increases. In the past two years, due to the depressed cotton price, the confidence of farmers in cotton cultivation has been frustrated, and the planting area has decreased. On the other hand, domestic cotton producing areas such as Xinjiang have suffered a reduction in cotton production due to the impact of climate disasters. On the international market, major cotton exporting countries such as India have ceased to use cotton. Exports, a series of factors that caused the cotton market imbalance in supply and demand led to soaring cotton prices.

Third, the large increase in demand for textiles has led to rising prices of raw materials. In 2010, the shortage of fabrics in Shengze market was very serious, especially in the first half of the year. According to previous sales habits, in the first half of the year, foreign trade orders should be many, and domestic sales orders should be more concentrated in the second half of the year. They should be a complementary relationship and the source of supply is not However, in the first half of this year, due to the continuous news of the *** appreciation, many businesses had to avoid the loss caused by the appreciation. As a result, there was a wave of grabbing goods. The fabrics produced by weaving mills were in short supply, and the price of raw materials followed suit. rise.

Fourth, social hot money speculation is the culprit. In 2010, China’s stock market’s bullishness, rising and falling, made these hot money feel more risky. At the same time, with the skyrocketing prices of property and property prices across the country, the national real estate New Deal continued to be introduced, once more severely, and desperation. These hot money withdrawal from the stock market, property market, transfer to the speculation of the textile raw materials market, resulting in soaring prices of textile raw materials.

To sum up, every change in textile raw materials affects the entire textile industry chain. The serious consequence of the soaring of raw materials such as 10 years is the massive loss of orders for downstream weaving companies. The weaving factory is forced to stop production and the workers are unemployed; The cost per piece of clothing produced by a processing company increases by at least 10 yuan. Since November, the wholesale price of clothing has increased by 2 to 4 yuan per piece. This has led to a reduction in consumer spending power and slow sales of clothing, which in turn has affected upstream industries. The follow-up production and sales of the chain, therefore, can only ensure the healthy development of the textile industry in all aspects of the textile industry chain only to maintain a virtuous production and business activities.