"Millennium is extremely cold" and there is no scientific basis for winter prices but it is still strong

Although the “Millennium Chill” is a rumorless rumors, the apparel industry still believes that this winter or cold winter, the receipt of goods everywhere directly increases the price of down commodities, and the duvet price is nearly 100,000 yuan per ton from last year. Soaring to the current 300,000 yuan, the rate of increase has tripled, not seen in history.

Down jacket prices rose by an average of more than 10% this year, and a variety of down jackets priced at RMB 670 to RMB 1,000 each cost about RMB 100 more than last year.

The history of cotton prices hitting record highs echoes with down feathers. In the Year of the Tiger, news of cotton loss at home and abroad began to spread. Cotton prices have risen sharply from 10,000 yuan/ton last year to around 24,000 yuan/ton, and prices have risen. 140%. According to the Clothing Industry Association of Guangzhou City, the price of cotton fabrics has now risen by more than 30%, setting a record of 30 years of reform and opening up. Transfer to the terminal price, the public may be 30 to 50 yuan each expensive this winter.

In recent days, the weather in Guangzhou has become increasingly cool. Guangzhou retailers are busy ordering new products for autumn and winter this year. They have learned from factories and wholesalers in Guangzhou and Dongguan that due to the increase in prices of upstream raw materials, this year’s The wholesale price of autumn and winter wear has increased significantly.

Mr. Guo, Secretary General of Guangzhou Garment Industry Chamber of Commerce, was busy on the field these days to see the market conditions of the members of the chamber of commerce. He worried that the apparel companies in Guangzhou local brands such as Carverlian, Yimiao, and Calhoun were crying out for the increase in raw material costs. The price of cotton-based fabrics rose by about 30% compared with last year, and cotton prices hit record highs.

It is understood that the price of cotton has increased since last year. The cotton price of the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange was only slightly higher than RMB 10,000 per ton at that time. After two years of “bull market” prices, it is now around RMB 24,000/ton. The price rose by 140%.

In the 30 years of reform and opening up, it has been normal for the price of cotton to fluctuate by 5% each year. This year, it has soared. Such a high rate of increase has not yet been seen. Mr. Guo said. The reporter learned that the increase in the price of cotton directly pushed up the cost of downstream cotton textile companies. The cotton prices of cotton textile enterprises have been adjusted several times this year.

The boss of Zhou, who is engaged in cloth wholesale business in the Zhongda cloth market, said that most of the fabric prices from January 2009 to the present time have increased by about 50% to 80%.

“The price of cotton cloth has been increasing recently, and the larger the amount of cotton, the larger the increase,” Zhou told reporters. Many downstream companies cannot accept such price increases, so some types of fabrics are no longer operating.

“As for the reasons for the increase in cotton prices, the industry’s general view is that domestic cotton production is cut.” Zhou Jianrui, an analyst at Great Wall, told reporters that according to relevant data, the national cotton output in 2007 was 7.62 million tons; in 2008, it was reduced to 7.49 million tons. In 2009, it was further reduced to 6.4 million tons. On the other hand, the significant increase in international cotton prices is also one of the factors that have contributed to the rise of domestic cotton.

The “Millennium Chill” lacks scientific basis for the “Millennium Arctic,” and related rumours suggest that under the influence of “La Niña” activity, the Gulf Stream has slowed down its warm currents and its scale has shrunk to half that of the past. The utility of air, and once the Gulf Stream warms up completely, Europe will enter the new Ice Age.

Climate experts believe that "La Niña" and the Gulf Stream are not the same thing. "La Niña" is an interannual measure. The volatility between years is relatively large, while the Atlantic warm current is relatively stable. It is mainly manifested in more than ten years. Changes in the long-term cycle, and observations in recent decades show that the Atlantic warm current has only a very weak reduction trend. There is currently a lack of scientific evidence to prove that La Niña has a direct relationship with the Gulf Stream. Song Lianchun, director of the National Climate Center of the China Meteorological Administration, believes that relying solely on the current phenomenon of "La Niña", it is predicted that Europe will experience a "major millennium", which is obviously lacking in scientific evidence.

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